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  • Essay / The Future of Iran - 1084

    Thomas Schelling, in his book Arms and Influence, describes how the threat of war can be used in negotiations, to force another country to comply with Iran's demands. 'another. In this case, the United States and the European Union, among others, attempted to negotiate, or even force, Iran to give up its nuclear weapons program. For the most part, Iran is not willing to negotiate much. In fact, Iran is often described as a rebellious country to the rest of the world. Will this challenge lead to the outbreak of war with Iran? There is a good chance that a war will take place, but it is just as likely that political leaders will find another way to manage Iran's relations with the world, especially after the long wars in Iraq and Afghanistan . In the book Arms and Influence by Thomas Schelling, he points out that when there is diplomacy and negotiations, there must be a common interest, even if the common interest is to avoid mutual harm. For negotiation to work, one must “be aware of the need to get the other party to prefer an outcome acceptable to oneself” (Schelling 1). However, in most reports from Iran, it does not appear that Iran is willing to negotiate, perhaps because it does not believe that failure to negotiate can cause harm. Iran may be right. Unless Iran openly inflicts violence on another country, it may be able to develop its nuclear weapons and continue to make threats despite what other countries have tried to force Iran to do. This view seems surprising given that Iraq was invaded and Saddam Hussein was overthrown, although the Iraqi nuclear threat was not as clear as that from Iran. But as Ivo Daalder (2006) argues, the rest...... middle of article...... but as Thomas Schelling says, the country is unlikely to do anything that would guarantee its destruction total (as in the use of a nuclear weapon). On the other hand, this does not mean that it will not cause harm to others. Works Cited Daalder, Ivo. “Is war with Iran inevitable? Brookings Institute, April 21, 2006. http://www.brookings.edu/opinions/2006/0421iran_daalder.aspx (accessed September 24, 2011). Eckman, Jim. “Iran versus Saudi Arabia.” Issues in Perspective, April 30, 2011. http://graceuniversity.edu/iip/2011/04/30-2/ (accessed September 24, 2011). Pollack, Ken and Takeyh, Roon. “Doubling down on Iran.” Washington Quarterly. 34. no. 4 (Fall 2011). http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/rc/articles/2011/09_iran_pollack_takeyh/09_iran_pollack_takeyh.pdf (accessed September 24, 2011). Schelling. T. Weapons and influence. Yale University. 1966.